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The spring of new energy commercial vehicles is coming

With the effective control of the COVID-19 that broke out in many places, the resumption of work and production in all walks of life is proceeding in an orderly manner. In order to seize the time window and push the economy back to normal, recently, a series of policies and measures have been introduced from the central to local governments to promote consumption and stabilize growth.

Among them, new energy commercial vehicles have become the high-frequency words in the policy documents. A series of incentive measures have paved the way for the rapid development of the new energy commercial vehicle industry.

Continued release of policy dividends

In the context of stabilizing the economy, local governments have successively introduced policies to support automobile consumption, including Beijing, Shenzhen, Henan, Shanghai and other places that have issued incentive policies for new energy vehicles to accelerate the promotion and application of new energy commercial vehicles.

On May 20, the General Office of the People's Government of Henan Province issued the Guiding Opinions on Further Accelerating the Development of the New Energy Vehicle Industry, which requires that by 2025, the annual output of new energy vehicles in Henan Province should exceed 1.5 million, accounting for more than 40% of the province's automobile output, and strive to build a 300 billion new energy vehicle industry cluster; In addition to emergency vehicles, new energy vehicles are basically used for buses, cruising taxis and muck transport vehicles, cement tankers, logistics vehicles, postal vehicles and sanitation vehicles in urban built-up areas throughout the province; The green replacement rate of heavy cargo vehicles and engineering vehicles will reach more than 50%.

it happens that there is a similar case. In the Measures of Shenzhen on Promoting the Sustainable Recovery of Consumption issued on May 26, it was also clearly pointed out that the Party and government organs, enterprises and institutions should be encouraged to purchase green travel services, replace new energy garbage trucks and port trailers. At the same time, eligible objects will be given subsidies of no more than 50000 yuan/vehicle. In terms of new energy commercial vehicles, specific measures include: encouraging tourism passenger vehicles to use new energy or clean energy vehicles, promoting the replacement of fuel trailers in ports, and increasing the promotion and use of new energy vehicles in the public sector.

Since this year, Beijing has continued to increase its support for new energy commercial vehicles. Among them, the 2022 Action Plan for Beijing to Deeply Fight the Pollution Prevention and Control Campaign requires that by the end of September this year, the priority policy for vehicles supporting Beijing's new energy logistics distribution should be revised, and light and mini trucks under 4.5 tons with truck passes should be pure electric vehicles or hydrogen fuel cell vehicles.

On March 21, the Beijing Municipal Commission of Transport issued a notice on the implementation of the Catalogue of Prohibitions and Restrictions on New Industries in Beijing (2022 Edition) in the road freight industry. According to the principle of "canceling one vehicle and adding one vehicle", it is clear that the total amount of traditional energy vehicles in Beijing will be controlled, and the new energy of commercial vehicles will become an important transformation direction of the market.

Recently, the Transport Development and Construction Plan of Beijing during the "Fourteenth Five Year Plan" issued by the Beijing Municipal People's Government once again clearly stated that during the "Fourteenth Five Year Plan" period, the proportion of new energy vehicles in Beijing's transport industry will strive to reach 50%, and 100% of municipal buses (except for mountain routes and emergency support vehicles) and cruising taxis (except for social security and individual vehicles) will be new energy, 100% of logistics distribution vehicles (excluding dangerous goods transport vehicles and cold chain transport vehicles) below 4.5 tons with truck passes are new energy vehicles.

"In recent years, the state has been giving preferential policies to the new energy commercial vehicle industry, which undoubtedly plays a great role in promoting the development of the industry," said the relevant person in charge of the Passenger Car Branch of China Highway Society.

"With the guidance of national policies, the process of new energy of commercial vehicles will continue to accelerate. According to the requirements of the New Energy Vehicle Industry Development Plan (2021-2035), by 2025, the sales of new energy vehicles will reach about 20% of the total sales of new vehicles. For new energy commercial vehicles, the development of the new energy vehicle industry will be further promoted through a series of preferential policies such as subsidies and right of way." Zhong Weiping, Secretary General of Commercial Vehicle Professional Committee of China Automobile Circulation Association, said.

Prospects are promising New energy commercial vehicles are taking advantage of

As for the development plan of new energy commercial vehicles, it was clearly proposed in the "Fourteenth Five Year" Modern Energy System Plan jointly issued by the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration that new energy vehicles should be actively promoted in urban public transport and other fields. By 2025, the sales of new energy vehicles and new vehicles will account for about 20%. In addition, the New Energy Vehicle Industry Development Plan (2021-2035) also mentioned that by 2035, pure electric vehicles will become the mainstream of new vehicles for sale, and public vehicles will be fully electric.

At the 2022 China Electric Vehicle Hundred People's Conference Forum, Cai Tuanjie, director of the Department of Transport Services of the Ministry of Transport, also pointed out that during the "Fourteenth Five Year Plan" period, we should build a clean and low-carbon green transport service system, accelerate the promotion and application of new energy and clean energy transport equipment, and further clarify the promotion goals of new energy vehicles during the "Fourteenth Five Year Plan" period. By the end of 2025, urban public transport, taxis The proportion of new energy vehicles in the field of logistics and distribution will reach 72%, 35% and 20% respectively.

Driven by the policy, the development of new energy commercial vehicle market is getting better and better. According to the latest data released at the New Energy Commercial Vehicle Market Information Joint Conference, from January to April this year, the cumulative sales volume of new energy commercial vehicles was 62300, up 62.2% year on year, and the market penetration rate was 6.2%, up 4.2 percentage points year on year. According to Roland Berger's prediction, the penetration rate of new energy commercial vehicles in China is expected to reach 20% by 2030, further highlighting the huge development potential of this field.

For relevant vehicle enterprises, the transition from commercial vehicles to new energy is changing from "multiple choice" to "must answer". In the face of this green change, upstream and downstream enterprises of the commercial vehicle industry chain actively seek technological breakthroughs, continue to increase investment in research and development, and strive to layout and deepen the new energy commercial vehicle track. Traditional commercial vehicle enterprises such as FAW Jiefang, Dongfeng Commercial Vehicle, SAIC Motor Corporation, Foton Motor, etc. have increased their efforts in the development and investment of new energy vehicles, intensively released new energy commercial vehicle strategies, and accelerated the electrification transformation of commercial vehicles.

"The policy support will undoubtedly inject a strong impetus into the development of new energy commercial vehicles. On the whole, the relevant support policies have played a very important role in cultivating the new energy commercial vehicle consumer market and driving the industrial development, and to a large extent, promoted the improvement of the new energy commercial vehicle technology level." Cui Dongshu, the secretary-general of the National Passenger Vehicle Market Information Joint Conference, said.

The industry still has pain points to solve

Although the development prospect of new energy commercial vehicle market is promising, in the opinion of insiders, there are still many pain points to be solved in this industry.

At this year's two sessions of the National People's Congress, Zhou Fugeng, a deputy to the National People's Congress and a senior engineer of Jianghuai Automobile, pointed out that at present, the domestic new energy vehicle industry has entered the fast lane of development, especially the new energy commercial vehicle industry has achieved remarkable results, and the process, products, technology and market are gradually mature. However, compared with new energy passenger vehicles, new energy trucks still have many shortcomings, and the process of new energy of commercial vehicles still needs to be optimized and accelerated.

"On the whole, the advantages of new energy commercial vehicles in the use link are not obvious." Zhou Fugeng said that at this stage, the purchase cost is high, which inhibits the consumer demand of some commercial vehicle users; Slow charging speed and lack of supporting facilities make it difficult to match the operation demand of commercial vehicles. "Compared with traditional fuel trucks, the carrying capacity of new energy trucks is also insufficient, and it is difficult to support long-distance operation. At present, energy supplement is still one of the main pain points in the use of new energy trucks. The charging and changing infrastructure that meets the conditions for the use of new energy trucks is relatively insufficient, and the supporting facilities need to be improved." Zhou Fugeng suggested that the construction of charging and changing infrastructure for new energy trucks should be accelerated, and priority should be given to improving the high-frequency use scenarios of new energy trucks, For example, the charging and changing infrastructure system around express delivery, postal service, urban distribution, etc., and the charging facilities in some scenarios are optimized to meet the charging needs of new energy trucks.

"For end users, including purchase cost, driving range, charging convenience, second-hand car trading and other issues, they still affect the large-scale application of new energy commercial vehicles." Fan Yongjun, Secretary General of Chengdu New Energy Automobile Industry Promotion Association, told reporters that in recent years, a series of new energy vehicle incentive policies have been introduced at the national level to clarify the promotion and application direction of new energy commercial vehicles, which is different from the passenger car market, As a means of production, commercial vehicles are more concerned about the input-output ratio of vehicles, including procurement costs, operating costs, etc.

In the opinion of Chen Shiping, a senior expert in the bus industry, although certain achievements have been made in the promotion and application of new energy commercial vehicles, there is still a big gap between the actual operation requirements of the transportation industry, and the safety problem is still the bottleneck in the promotion and application of new energy commercial vehicles. Another outstanding problem is the lack of core technology of key components. Therefore, in order to survive in the fierce market competition in the future, commercial vehicle enterprises should increase research and development efforts, improve vehicle technical performance, launch new energy vehicle products with higher reliability, and eliminate users' worries.